View source for Chawosauria in the 2020 United States Presidential Election

== Background ==
Trump was elected in 2016 by a surprise result during the leadership of [[Abooksigun Eluwilussit]] as Supreme Leader of Chawosauria, and [[Jonathan Dragan Boleslaus IX]] as Prime Minister of Chawosauria, and a [[23rd Chawopolis Palace|Communist Party-controlled Chawopolis Palace]]. The election of Donald Trump made Chawosauria very [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fatigue weary] over the recent rise of [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Right-wing_populism right-wing populism] that had been gaining smoke since the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Recession Great Recession] in the late 2000s, Supreme Leader Abooksigun Eluwilussit, before he left office on December 31, 2016, established the [[Chawosaurian European Parliament]] which [[Chawosaurian Involvement in the Brexit Conflict|involves Chawosauria]] in the fight in the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Kingdom United Kingdom] to preserve Britain's place in the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union European Union]. On June 23, 2016, just five months prior to the November vote in the United States, [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_United_Kingdom_European_Union_membership_referendum the United Kingdom voted with 51% to leave the European Union], part of the ongoing populist advance throughout the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010s 2010s]. Unfortunately for Chawosauria, Chawosauria's involving role in the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opposition_to_Brexit fight against Brexit] would soon backfire when the U.K. holds [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_United_Kingdom_general_election an election in 2019] which resulted in a pro-Brexit [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conservative_Party_(UK) Tory] supermajority in the [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/House_of_Commons_of_the_United_Kingdom U.K. House of Commons], forcing Chawosauria to turn back from [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politics_of_the_United_Kingdom British politics] as it watches the UK withdrawals from the EU in 2020. This humiliating experience in the United Kingdom originally made Chawosauria hesitant against involving themselves into the 2020 U.S. presidential election, known as the [[Brexit Syndrome]].   

Trump recently lost his Republican Party trifecta government in the 2018 midterm elections, keeping the Senate for his party in a bigger margin by 2 seats, but losing the House of Representatives to the Democratic Party by 41 (possibly 42) seats, which was the worst loss of seats suffered by a Republican President since President Gerald Ford in 1974. 

It was still possible that Trump can get reelected, but in a trickier position, Trump's approval rating is still way under 50%, his trade wars with China, Canada, and Europe are destroying many of America's farming industry, North Korea still a nuclear power and a potential threat to the United States, and the possibility that the Democratic Party will forge a smart populist candidate to face Trump in 2020. In the way America voted in the 2018 elections, the 2018 electorate is not friendly to Trump's reelection, in the Senate, the House, and the Governorships, the Republicans failed to win the popular vote in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, three of Trump's critical states yet three states that has a recently long history of voting Democratic in recent presidential elections, and the Republicans losing ground in the American Southwest, which indicates that the Southwestern United States' 2018 voting attitudes threatened to replace the Midwest as a winning region for the Democratic Party. 

Trump's struggle are Independents, Suburban Voters, Young Voters (although this group aren't as active as older voters, they're going increasingly Democratic, which it's deemed as a threat to the Republicans), and Trump will have a weaker advantage at winning the popular vote regardless who the electoral college elects, and regardless if Trump has an incumbency advantage or not, Trump's Republican Party is in much weaker shape than Trump, it is highly unlikely the Republicans will back control of the House of Representatives, the Republicans might lose seats in the U.S. Senate (possibly not enough to lose the Senate luckily), and the Republicans might lose more seats in state and local elections in 2020, and if Trump does get reelected, 2022 might be a bloodbath midterm election for Republicans. 

Bernie Sanders' decision to run for President in 2020 backfires as Joe Biden, whose taking advantage of the fact that he was the Vice President on behalf of President Barack Obama, the most recent President to have been a member of the Democratic Party, and Sanders struggles to energize his base of youth voters and convince his potential voters to go to him over Biden. Biden took away from Bernie Sanders white blue-collar workers in the State of Michigan, the same group in the Rust Belt who gave Trump the Presidency, this suggests that Bernie Sanders may would have suffered a Hillary Clinton-style defeat four years earlier.  

The voters in the Democratic Party care about defeating Trump in 2020, and they see Joe Biden, instead of Bernie, a safe enough bet for the party, and Joe proved this by winning Obama voters, white blue-collar folks, older folks who are the most than young folks energized to vote, and older Hispanics. Bernie Sanders has a real problem with African-Americans, Bernie Sanders and his campaign are struggling to convince Black voters to vote for him instead of Biden, the reason black folks are voting for Joe Biden is that Biden was the running mate and eventual Vice President of the nation's first Black President of the United States (Barack Obama), and Bernie's decisions to distance himself from Obama had been haunting him as the primaries proceed. The Sanders campaign realized they have a problem with black voters, so they made desperate attempts to educate black voters about Bernie's protests against Segregation, and link Bernie to Obama, but this proves unsuccessful as African Americans from the South gave Biden his greatest numbers.  

Joe Biden was accused of sexual misconduct by a former Senate staffer, Tara Reade (also known as Alexandria Tara Moulton, or McCabe). In April 2019, she first said Biden had harassed her, but a year later, she then said Biden assaulted her sexually, and despite saying she did filed a complaint against the then-Senator, she said the file did not mention sexual harassment nor assault, only to say it did and that she did not said it didn't accuse Biden of the following charges. Biden finally addressed the allegations on Morning Joe with Mika Brzezinski, the show's co-host and wife of the host, Joe Scarborough. Brzezinski challenged Biden on past comments during the Kavanaugh allegations that Biden was setting a double standard between believing women against others but himself, Biden said that "believing" women means taking their claims seriously till a verdict.   

While this sexual assault allegation is a major threat to Biden's campaign, especially with a video from 1993 of a woman (who Tara Reade said was her mother) calling Larry King about what a victim should do about a situation of being sexually abused by a Senator because the woman said that her daughter was abused by a Senator and "could not go through with her problems at all". Everything seemed to be going against Biden, at least till the complaint debacle by Reade herself by contradicting herself on rather her complaint said harassment and assault but saying it didn't mention these two terms earlier.  

Trump had similar allegations thrown at him. One was Jessica Leeds, an elderly woman who said she encountered Trump in a plane, only to be assaulted by Trump after being offered to sit at first class. This alleged incident took place in 1979, still a time period when women who were victims were told to be silent. The purpose of the Me Too Movement was to change that culture, and succeeded over the years. Trump's Access Hollywood tape which exposes Trump of bragging about sexually assaulting women "When you're a star they let you do it, you can do anything, grab 'em by the *****, you can do anything". Trump still got elected after that and the Me too movement escalated.  

Speaking of Trump, Trump has his own 2020 problems, and it's not sexual misconduct this time. It is his negligence of the 2020 coronavirus crisis in the United States. When the coronavirus pandemic was erupting worldwide and it is about to hit the United States, Trump (fearful that the news will make the stock market tumble) tries to downplay the threat by saying "it will magically disappear", "one person coming from China", "we're keeping it in a minimum", when in reality the Covid-19 pandemic was expanding because Trump didn't do a good job restricting the border tough enough though he prides himself as "tough on immigration and the border". Trump was too late to restrict immigration, he restricted immigration in a time when coronavirus already tumbled the United States and there was never gonna be immigration at all because much of the world already shut down emigration and travel.   

The reason Trump did little to stop Covid-19 from becoming a pandemic in America and did from little to too late to restrict travel, test Americans, and prepare for the worst was because Trump feared the coronavirus news will cripple the stock market, which would mean crippling his reelection efforts for 2020. If Trump had autocratic power, he would censor the media from reporting on the coronavirus pandemic, punished (possibly execute) journalists for reporting the pandemic, simply just to protect the stock market, again meant protecting his path to reelection. This isn't the first time the government lied about a pandemic, during the onset of the 1918 flu pandemic, commonly known as the Spanish flu, much of the world's governments didn't allow the media to report the contagion of the flu due to fears that it will interfere with their attempts to win World War I, but neutral states, prominently Spain, allowed the media to report the flu pandemic and the news spread despite censorship attempts, giving birth to the infamous term ''Spanish flu''.   

When it was clear that the coronavirus pandemic is gonna have to run its course as part of the nature of a pandemic, Trump needed to lead the country through this big problem, the country (kinda) rallied around Trump for that leadership, known as the ''rally 'round the flag'' phenomenon, his approval was spiking to unprecedented levels but not enough to get him to majority approval territory. Trump started, well, you can say taking charge of the White House coronavirus task force, he held daily press conferences, only to get into arguments with journalists and contradict his medical experts to claim the markets, Trump was using his daily press briefings as his campaign rallies to entertain his base...while Americans are literally losing their souls to the pandemic. This eventually backfired when his rallying approval ratings crumbled and his reelection expectations tumbled. Trump's nail to his political stunts' coffin was his suggestions of injecting coronavirus patients with disinfectants (bleach, chlorine, and other cleaning products) to treat or prevent coronavirus. This sparked widespread outrage, anger, frustration, and anxiety because his base will literally do what Trump says, including killing themselves if Trump (though unintentionally) tells them to.   

Trump had to stop his daily briefings due to that really dangerous debacle. There were incidents also of Trump supporters drugging, poisoning, and in some cases, killing themselves accidentally simply by following Trump's "instructions".   

The Black Lives Matter movement escalated following a firestorm of phone videos of a black man named George Floyd being killed by police officers in Minnesota start to swim in the social media universe. The George Floyd protests erupted at first with riots and then peaceful demonstrations, which were still met with police resistance despite being peaceful demonstrations, thus only fueling allegations of racial bias against law enforcement. Trump attempted to exploit the BLM outcry by running his campaign like it's the 1968 presidential campaign, labeling Joe Biden as a left-wing socialist because of his likely support for the Black Lives Matter movement, though Biden rejects the need for violence as a solution to not being heard.    

Donald Trump is President of the United States, meaning he's the guy in charge, and he is judged by how peaceful American society is or not, and when he accuses the political dissent of starting riots, there is speculation that Trump is unintentionally admitting he's not doing his job as commander in chief to stop the riots, and talking as if the Democrats were in charge and that they failed to stop the riots themselves (though they're not the ones in charge, Trump is).